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What Does The Future Hold For The Big Three Auto Industry?

March 6th, 2009 · 1 Comment

What is the problem with the Big Three Auto Industry? Are they ever going to make a comeback from, recover from their current funk? Is now the time to take a chance to buy Ford or GM stock? These are the questions people are asking quite often these days, as the companies upon which so many people have based their livelihoods over the last century flounder and struggle to survive.

For many investors, these questions arise as they look to potentially invest in one of the Big Three companies in the Auto Industry segment. The main reason that they’re looking at these stocks this way is because Ford and GM stock can be bought at a very low price. The question arises however, is it low enough? While a purchase may be in order for sentimental reasons, like remembering the company where you worked for 20 years, the Big Three Auto Industry as an investment is a terrible idea right now.

Bargain hunters invariably want to buy low and sell high. Looking at the price of GM stock, which climaxed at $38 dollars two years ago and is at $1.50 or so today, you can see that the range in which the stock has fluctuated is quite large. Many people will look at this and think that once we’re out of this economic funk, GM can easily return to $38 a share or even more. Unfortunately, the chances of this actually happening are nearly zero.

Big Three Auto Industry

Why am I giving such a pitiful prognosis for the Big Three’s stock values? It takes some serious digging into the history of the Auto Industry to really be able to evaluate what the root causes are. However, if you simply look at a chart of GM’s stock over the past 10 years, you will see that each rally GM has made out of its lows have failed to bring it to a new high, while the lows have just kept getting lower. This shows the inherent weakness in GM’s ability to continue to pay dividends – the factor which has made them such a bellwether blue chip over the past 50 years. Moreover, as Ford and GM take on more and more debt in this economic hailstorm just to stay in business, their ability to pay dividends may be forever damaged. Buying the Big Three right now and expecting them to rebound to their previous glory is as bad an idea as buying a Chevy Vega.

However, looking at the stock market as a whole, not all of the prospects are as dim as the Big Three Auto Industry’s. Without a doubt, there are many, many valuable stocks out there that have been damaged by this decline, even though their overall business prospects remain quite good. Read more here about how to Buying Stock Online With Confidence even in this recession. This article will show you how to find excellent values that are poised to profit, no matter what the overall market is doing!

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Tags: Personal Finance

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